Summary
Ameren Corporation (AEE) has updated its estimate for the potential increase in average electric rates for its Illinois subsidiaries, referred to as the Ameren Illinois Utilities, following the expiration of the legislative electric rate freeze on January 1, 2007. Previously, the company anticipated a 10% to 20% increase, with a significant portion attributed to higher power costs. The revised estimate now suggests a potential increase of 20% to 35% over current bundled rate levels. This updated forecast is based on a new set of assumptions, including August 2005 power prices around $55 per megawatt hour, which now account for approximately 70% of the projected rate increase. Investors should note that these figures are estimates and are subject to significant variability based on numerous factors, including regulatory approvals, future market prices, infrastructure investments, and operating costs. The company acknowledges that the Illinois Commerce Commission (ICC) may not grant the full estimated increase and is engaging in discussions with stakeholders, including the Governor's office, to find a constructive resolution, potentially involving a phased-in rate increase.
Key Highlights
- 1Ameren Corporation's Illinois subsidiaries (AmerenCIPS, AmerenCILCO, AmerenIP) face a potential average electric rate increase of 20% to 35% in 2007, up from a previous estimate of 10% to 20%.
- 2The revised estimate is based on updated assumptions, including August 2005 power prices around $55 per megawatt hour.
- 3Higher power costs are now projected to account for roughly 70% of the estimated rate increase.
- 4The Illinois Governor has expressed opposition to Ameren's proposed reverse auction process for procuring electricity after the rate freeze expires.
- 5Ameren is uncertain whether the Illinois Commerce Commission (ICC) will approve the estimated rate increases.
- 6The company is seeking a 'constructive solution' with stakeholders, which could include a rate increase phase-in plan.