8-KEarnings & ResultsExhibits & Filings

CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORP 8-K Report, Financial Results (Apr 16, 2007)

Filed April 16, 2007For Securities:CINF

Summary

Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF) filed an 8-K on April 16, 2007, to announce anticipated strong first-quarter 2007 results. The company expects its GAAP combined ratio for the first quarter to be below 91%, a significant improvement from the 92.0% combined ratio reported in the first quarter of 2006. This positive outlook is driven by better-than-expected property casualty underwriting results and a notable reduction in estimated catastrophe losses for the current quarter, partly offset by a decrease in the estimate for prior year catastrophe losses. Furthermore, CINF has raised its full-year profitability outlook, now projecting a 2007 GAAP combined ratio at or below the low end of its previously announced target of 97% to 99%. The company also reported that investment income growth is expected to be in line with its full-year target, and that it repurchased approximately $64 million of its common stock during the first quarter. Investors can look forward to the full first-quarter results on May 2, 2007.

Key Highlights

  • 1Anticipates a first-quarter 2007 GAAP combined ratio below 91%, an improvement from 92.0% in Q1 2006.
  • 2Projected first-quarter 2007 catastrophe losses are estimated at $16 million pretax, or $3 million net, representing a minimal 0.4 percentage point impact on the combined ratio.
  • 3Full-year 2007 profitability outlook improved, with a projected GAAP combined ratio at or below the low end of the 97%-99% target range.
  • 4Full-year 2006 catastrophe losses were $175 million net, contributing 5.5 percentage points to the combined ratio.
  • 5Investment income growth for Q1 2007 is expected to be in line with the full-year target of 6.5% to 7.0%.
  • 6Repurchased approximately 1.5 million shares of common stock for $64 million during the first quarter.
  • 7Full first-quarter results and conference call are scheduled for May 2, 2007.

Frequently Asked Questions

The company anticipates strong first-quarter results primarily due to favorable property casualty underwriting performance and significantly lower catastrophe losses compared to the prior year's first quarter. The reduced estimate for prior year catastrophe losses also contributed positively.

Cincinnati Financial has raised its full-year 2007 profitability outlook. They now expect their full-year GAAP combined ratio to be at or below the low end of their previously announced target range of 97% to 99%.

For Q1 2007, estimated pretax catastrophe losses are $16 million ($3 million net), contributing only about 0.4 percentage points to the combined ratio. In contrast, Q1 2006 saw catastrophe losses of $39 million net, which contributed 5.0 percentage points to the combined ratio.

Yes, the company repurchased approximately 1.5 million shares of its common stock during the first quarter of 2007, at a total cost of $64 million.