10-QPeriod: Q1 FY2012

PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ Quarterly Report for Q1 Ended Mar 31, 2012

Filed May 7, 2012For Securities:PGR

Summary

Progressive Corporation (PGR) reported its first quarter 2012 financial results, showing a 4% increase in total revenues to $4,061.2 million compared to the prior year period. However, net income decreased by 29% to $257.6 million, resulting in diluted earnings per share of $0.42, down from $0.55 in the first quarter of 2011. This decline was primarily driven by a significant increase in losses and loss adjustment expenses, which rose by 10% to $2,762.4 million, and unfavorable prior accident year reserve development of $44.3 million, contrasting with favorable development in the prior year. Despite the decrease in net income, the company demonstrated growth in net premiums written, up 7% to $4,162.5 million, with notable performance in its Commercial Auto segment. The investment portfolio remained substantial at $16.4 billion, contributing positively to total return, though investment income itself saw a 7% decrease. The company also continued its capital management strategies, including debt retirement and share repurchases, maintaining a strong capital position with a debt-to-total capital ratio of 25.0%.

Financial Statements
Beta
Revenue$4.13B
Interest Expense$31.90M
Net Income$257.60M
EPS (Basic)$0.42
EPS (Diluted)$0.42
Shares Outstanding (Basic)606.20M
Shares Outstanding (Diluted)610.00M

Key Highlights

  • 1Total revenues increased by 4% to $4,061.2 million.
  • 2Net income decreased by 29% to $257.6 million, with diluted EPS at $0.42.
  • 3Losses and loss adjustment expenses increased by 10% to $2,762.4 million.
  • 4Net premiums written grew by 7% to $4,162.5 million, driven by Personal Lines and Commercial Auto segments.
  • 5Investment portfolio valued at $16.4 billion, with a total return of 3.3% for the quarter.
  • 6Favorable prior accident year reserve development in Q1 2011 reversed to unfavorable development ($44.3 million) in Q1 2012, impacting profitability.
  • 7Debt-to-total capital ratio stood at 25.0% at the end of the quarter.

Frequently Asked Questions

The primary driver for the decrease in net income was a significant increase in losses and loss adjustment expenses, up 10% year-over-year, and unfavorable prior accident year reserve development of $44.3 million in the first quarter of 2012, compared to favorable development in the prior year's first quarter. These factors more than offset the growth in net premiums earned.

The investment portfolio was valued at $16.4 billion at the end of the quarter. It generated a total return of 3.3% for the first quarter of 2012, with fixed-income securities contributing 2.0% and common stocks contributing 12.3%. However, investment income itself decreased by 7% year-over-year, reflecting lower investment yields.

Progressive maintained a strong capital position, with total capital (debt plus equity) of $8.3 billion and a debt-to-total capital ratio of 25.0% at March 31, 2012. The company continued its capital management strategy by retiring $350 million of Senior Notes at maturity and repurchasing $12.6 million of subordinated debentures and 1.9 million common shares during the quarter.

The Commercial Auto segment demonstrated strong growth, with net premiums written increasing by 13% year-over-year. The Personal Lines segment also saw solid growth, with net premiums written increasing by 6%.