10-QPeriod: Q1 FY2019

PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ Quarterly Report for Q1 Ended Mar 31, 2019

Filed May 1, 2019For Securities:PGR

Summary

The Progressive Corporation reported strong financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2019. The company saw a significant increase in total revenues, reaching $9.3 billion, up from $7.43 billion in the same period last year. This growth was driven by robust performance in net premiums earned, which rose by 18% year-over-year, and a notable increase in investment income. Net income attributable to Progressive shareholders surged by 50% to $1.078 billion, or $1.83 per diluted share, compared to $718.0 million, or $1.22 per diluted share, in the prior year. A key driver of the increased net income was a substantial shift from net realized losses in the prior year to significant net realized gains in the current quarter, primarily from equity securities, totaling $414.5 million. Additionally, the company reported strong growth in policies in force, up 11% year-over-year across its Personal, Commercial, and Property lines of business, indicating successful customer acquisition and retention efforts. The effective tax rate increased due to the reversal of tax credits from renewable energy investments, but overall capital remains strong with a debt-to-total capital ratio below 30%.

Financial Statements
Beta
Revenue$9.30B
Interest Expense$47.40M
Net Income$1.08B
EPS (Basic)$1.84
EPS (Diluted)$1.83
Shares Outstanding (Basic)583.50M
Shares Outstanding (Diluted)586.60M

Key Highlights

  • 1Total revenues increased 25% year-over-year to $9.3 billion.
  • 2Net income attributable to Progressive increased 50% to $1.078 billion.
  • 3Diluted earnings per share rose to $1.83 from $1.22 in the prior year.
  • 4Net premiums earned grew 18% to $8.46 billion.
  • 5Policies in force increased by 11% to 21.1 million.
  • 6Investment income saw a substantial increase of 52% to $252.9 million.
  • 7The company reported significant net realized gains on securities ($414.5 million) compared to net realized losses in the prior year ($-48.2 million).

Frequently Asked Questions

The primary driver of the increase in net income was a substantial shift from net realized losses in the first quarter of 2018 to significant net realized gains in the first quarter of 2019, largely due to positive valuation changes in equity securities. This amounted to $414.5 million in gains compared to $48.2 million in losses in the prior year.

Underwriting operations showed solid performance with net premiums earned increasing by 18% to $8.46 billion. All three segments—Personal Lines, Commercial Lines, and Property—generated underwriting profitability. The overall underwriting margin was 11.2%, slightly lower than the prior year's 11.6%, but the company saw strong growth in policies in force, up 11% year-over-year.

The effective tax rate increased to 30.9% from 19.9% in the prior year. This increase was principally due to the reversal of tax credits and other tax benefits previously recognized from certain renewable energy investments, amounting to an additional provision for income taxes of $156.1 million.

The company's investment portfolio had a fair value of $34.5 billion at March 31, 2019. Investment income increased significantly by 52% to $252.9 million, driven by higher average assets and improved portfolio yields. The total portfolio delivered a fully taxable equivalent (FTE) total return of 3.2% for the quarter, a substantial improvement from -0.3% in the prior year, reflecting a recovery in equity markets and favorable valuation changes in fixed-income securities due to declining interest rates.