10-QPeriod: Q2 FY2020

PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ Quarterly Report for Q2 Ended Jun 30, 2020

Filed August 4, 2020For Securities:PGR

Summary

The Progressive Corporation (PGR) reported a strong second quarter for 2020, with significant increases in net income and comprehensive income attributable to Progressive, up 83% and 88% respectively, compared to the same period in the prior year. This robust performance was driven by a combination of factors, including strong underwriting results and substantial gains in investment portfolios. The company benefited from reduced auto accident frequency due to COVID-19 restrictions, leading to a decrease in loss and loss adjustment expenses. While expenses were impacted by policyholder credits and increased bad debt provisions related to pandemic relief efforts, the overall underwriting margin improved significantly.

Financial Statements
Beta
Revenue$10.97B
Interest Expense$56.40M
Net Income$1.79B
EPS (Basic)$3.05
EPS (Diluted)$3.04
Shares Outstanding (Basic)584.80M
Shares Outstanding (Diluted)587.20M

Key Highlights

  • 1Net income attributable to Progressive surged by 83% to $1.79 billion for the second quarter of 2020 compared to $979.4 million in Q2 2019.
  • 2Total revenues increased by 16% to $10.97 billion in the second quarter of 2020, up from $9.45 billion in the prior year period.
  • 3The company's underwriting profit margin improved to 12.3% in Q2 2020 from 9.6% in Q2 2019, largely due to decreased loss and loss adjustment expenses from lower auto accident frequency.
  • 4Investments portfolio saw a significant rebound, with a total portfolio fair value of $43.8 billion at June 30, 2020, up from $36.8 billion at June 30, 2019.
  • 5Net premiums written grew by 11% to $10.14 billion in the second quarter of 2020.
  • 6The company declared common share dividends of $0.10 per share for both the first and second quarters of 2020, totaling $58.5 million each quarter.
  • 7While underwriting performance was strong, the company issued $1 billion in credits to personal auto policyholders and recorded a $120 million increase in the allowance for doubtful accounts due to billing leniency efforts related to COVID-19.

Frequently Asked Questions

COVID-19 had a mixed impact. On the positive side, reduced driving led to significantly lower auto accident frequency, decreasing loss and loss adjustment expenses and improving the underwriting margin. However, Progressive issued $1 billion in credits to personal auto policyholders and increased its allowance for doubtful accounts by $120 million due to billing leniency and moratoriums, which impacted expenses.

The substantial increase in net income was primarily driven by strong underwriting profitability, which benefited from lower claim frequency due to COVID-19 related driving restrictions. Additionally, the company's investment portfolio experienced a strong rebound in valuation during the quarter, contributing positively to the results.

The investment portfolio rebounded significantly in the second quarter, with its fair value increasing to $43.8 billion. Fixed-income securities generated a positive return of 3.4% for the quarter, and common stocks had a strong return of 21.5%. The portfolio remains largely invested in fixed-income securities (92.8% of the total portfolio), with a weighted average credit quality of AA- and a duration of 3.0 years.

Progressive views the market environment as very uncertain and believes its conservative investment portfolio position remains appropriate. The company expects to continue to monitor trends to distinguish changes in its experience from external factors and emphasizes the importance of retaining customers. Despite ongoing uncertainties related to economic recovery and changing consumer behaviors, the company believes it has sufficient liquidity and capital resources to meet its obligations.