Summary
Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) is reporting on the progress of a significant electric rate case filed by its subsidiary, Northern States Power Company Minnesota (NSP-Minnesota), with the Minnesota Public Utilities Commission (MPUC). The company initially requested rate increases totaling $194.6 million for 2016, $52.1 million for 2017, and $50.4 million for 2018, based on a requested return on equity (ROE) of 10.0 percent. Interim rates for 2016 were approved in December 2015, providing some immediate rate relief. The filing highlights the testimony submitted by intervening parties on June 14, 2016, most notably the Minnesota Department of Commerce (DOC). The DOC proposed substantially lower rate increases, recommending $44.6 million for 2016, $75.6 million for 2017, and $10.0 million for 2018, with a recommended ROE of 9.06 percent. While some of the DOC's proposed adjustments are estimated to not impact earnings, the overall recommended rate increases are significantly less than NSP-Minnesota's initial request. Other intervenors, including the Minnesota Attorney General and various customer groups, also filed testimony with varying recommendations on ROE, rate case structure, and capital recovery, indicating a complex regulatory environment ahead. Despite the ongoing rate case proceedings and differing proposals from intervenors, Xcel Energy is reaffirming its 2016 ongoing earnings guidance of $2.12 to $2.27 per diluted share. This reaffirmation is contingent upon "constructive outcomes in all rate case and regulatory proceedings," underscoring the importance of a favorable resolution in the NSP-Minnesota rate case for the company's financial performance. Investors should monitor the upcoming mediation, hearings, and the final MPUC order, expected in June 2017, as key determinants of future revenue and profitability for NSP-Minnesota.
Key Highlights
- 1NSP-Minnesota filed a three-year electric rate case in November 2015, requesting significant rate increases and a 10.0% return on equity (ROE).
- 2The MPUC approved interim rates for 2016 as requested but deferred a decision on incremental interim rates for 2017.
- 3On June 14, 2016, intervenors, including the Minnesota Department of Commerce (DOC), filed testimony proposing substantially lower rate increases than initially requested by NSP-Minnesota.
- 4The DOC recommended a 2016 rate increase of $44.6 million and a lower ROE of 9.06%, differing significantly from NSP-Minnesota's original filing.
- 5Various other intervenors (OAG, MCC, XLI, etc.) also presented testimony with diverse recommendations concerning ROE, rate case structure, and capital recovery, indicating potential for lengthy negotiations.
- 6Xcel Energy reaffirmed its 2016 ongoing earnings guidance of $2.12 to $2.27 per diluted share, emphasizing the assumption of constructive outcomes in regulatory proceedings.
- 7The regulatory process is extensive, with key dates including a mediation conference in July 2016, evidentiary hearings in October 2016, and an expected MPUC order by June 1, 2017.