01—Abstract
Summary
Summary of the 8-K filed October 30, 2024. Cited figures are marked; the original filing is the authoritative source.
Equity Residential (EQR) reported third quarter 2024 results on October 30, 2024, with diluted EPS of $0.38a (down 15.6% year over year, driven by lower property sale gains) and Normalized FFO per share of $0.98, up 2.1% from $0.96.
For the first nine months, diluted EPS rose 17.4% to $1.62b and Normalized FFO per share rose 4.0% to $2.89. Same store NOI grew 2.5% in the quarter on 2.7% revenue growth, with expenses up 3.2%. Physical occupancy held at 96.1%, but blended rate growth slowed to 2.0% from 2.9% in Q2, as New Lease Change decelerated sharply in September, particularly in Los Angeles and the Expansion Markets.
Management guided fourth quarter 2024 Normalized FFO per share to $0.98 to $1.02c and EPS to $1.01 to $1.05, and indicated that blended rates have normalized in early Q4 with an expected range of 0.75% to 1.25%. Investment activity was active: the company acquired 14 properties (4,418 units) for about $1.26 billion at a 5.1% acquisition cap rate, mostly in its Expansion Markets of Atlanta, Dallas/Ft. Worth and Denver.
Funding came partly from a $600 milliond 10-year unsecured note issue at a 4.65% coupon, the lowest 10-year REIT coupon since 2022. Balance sheet metrics moved toward higher leverage after the acquisitions. Total debt to Normalized EBITDAre rose to 4.60x from 3.96x in Q2, and net debt to Normalized EBITDAre rose to 4.56x from 3.92x.
Commercial paper and the line of credit increased, and the company remained in compliance with its unsecured debt covenants. Investors should weigh the solid same store NOI and guidance against slowing pricing momentum in parts of the portfolio and the higher leverage taken on to fund acquisitions.
02—Key points
Key Highlights
- Q3 2024 diluted EPS was $0.38, down 15.6% year over year, mainly due to lower property sale gains; nine-month EPS rose 17.4% to $1.62.
- Q3 2024 Normalized FFO per share was $0.98, up 2.1% from $0.96; nine-month Normalized FFO per share was $2.89, up 4.0%.
- Same store revenue grew 2.7%, expenses rose 3.2%, and NOI grew 2.5% year over year in Q3 2024; physical occupancy was 96.1%.
- Blended rate growth slowed to 2.0% in Q3 from 2.9% in Q2, with New Lease Change falling to (1.2%) as September decelerated, especially in Los Angeles and Expansion Markets.
- Acquired 14 properties (4,418 units) for about $1.26 billion at a 5.1% weighted average cap rate, mainly in Atlanta, Dallas/Ft. Worth and Denver.
- Issued $600 million of 10-year unsecured notes at a 4.65% coupon (4.9% all-in yield), the lowest 10-year REIT coupon since 2022.
- Q4 2024 guidance: Normalized FFO per share of $0.98 to $1.02 and EPS of $1.01 to $1.05; total debt to Normalized EBITDAre rose to 4.60x from 3.96x.
03—Questions
Frequently Asked Questions
Why did EPS fall in Q3 2024 while Normalized FFO rose?
EPS fell 15.6% to $0.38 mainly because Q3 2024 had lower property sale gains (a $0.165 million loss versus a $26.9 million gain in Q3 2023) and higher depreciation. Normalized FFO excludes gains on sales and other non-recurring items, and it rose 2.1% to $0.98 on same store NOI growth and acquisition contributions.
How strong is same store performance and is pricing slowing?
Same store NOI grew 2.5% in Q3 2024 with revenue up 2.7%. Occupancy was stable at 96.1%, but pricing decelerated: blended rate growth fell to 2.0% from 2.9% in Q2 because new lease pricing weakened in September, especially in Los Angeles and the Expansion Markets. Management said blended rates have since normalized, with a Q4 expectation of 0.75% to 1.25%.
What drove the increase in leverage?
The company bought about $1.26 billion of properties in Q3 2024, partly funded with debt. Total debt to Normalized EBITDAre rose to 4.60x from 3.96x, and net debt to Normalized EBITDAre rose to 4.56x from 3.92x. Commercial paper and the line of credit also increased, while the company stayed in compliance with its unsecured debt covenants.
What is the outlook for Q4 2024?
Guidance calls for Normalized FFO per share of $0.98 to $1.02 (midpoint $1.00, up from $0.98 in Q3) and EPS of $1.01 to $1.05. The Q4 Normalized FFO increase is driven mainly by transaction activity and same store NOI, partly offset by higher interest expense. The full-year 2024 Normalized FFO guidance implied by these figures is $3.87 to $3.91.
04—Continue